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Bellwether

National environment · generic ballot and presidential approval · neither is inside the model

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Generic ballot

No average

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Approval trend

No history

Approve and disapprove, each inside a band showing where a newly published poll should land nine times in ten. The line stops at today and is never projected forward — approval is measured, not forecast.

Approval history appears after at least two daily estimates.

Approval source polls

No polls

No poll currently carries weight in this series.

Excluded polls

0 held out

These releases exist and are deliberately not in the average. Eligibility comes first, then weight — and naming what was held out, with the reason, is what keeps "weighted" from meaning "chosen".

Nothing has been held out of this window.

Attribution

Polling data provided by VoteHub under CC BY 4.0. CC BY 4.0

Bellwether re-weights the published releases; VoteHub is the source of the underlying poll data and is not responsible for this average. The feed carries no per-poll methodology, so no methodology adjustment is applied and none is shown.

VoteHub →